Author(s): Juan Bacilio Guerrero Escamilla, Sócrates López Pérez, Yamile Rangel Martínez

Abstract: In 2015, the challenge posed in Paris washow to regulate the consumption in the near future, to hold the increase of the temperature in this century below 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. Considering the fact that the planet’s temperature variation is the consequence of the increase of human activities over time, it is fundamental to build a mathematical model to diagnose the impact caused by human activity. In this context,with this research work, we developed a mathematical model which theoretically predicts the temperature variation, and with that, present possible scenarios considering human activity (Gross Domestic Product and demographic growth) over the last 100 years.With this model, it may be confirmed that the accumulation of economic wealth and nations’ demographic growth generates an over exploitation of natural resources which leads to an increase of the average global temperature.

Keywords: environment, temperature, human activity and models.

DOI: 10.22161/ijels.2.6.24